Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 1
Lecce

Coulibaly (30'), Maggiore (45'), Pirola (73'), Zanoli (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gyomber (17' og.)
Ramadani (49'), Piccoli (54'), Pongracic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 0-0 Lecce

It is unknown how Gotti's Lecce appointment elicits a reaction in the struggling side, but erring on the side of caution is the sensible move to opt for a scoreless draw at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Lecce
32.13% ( 0.09)	26.51% ( -0.05)	41.36% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.75% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

0.2)

52.99% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

0.17)

74.58% (

-0.17)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25% (

0.16)

30.75% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

0.19)

67.01% (

-0.19)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72% (

0.06)

25.28% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

0.09)

60.04% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 32.13%

Lecce 41.35%

Draw 26.5%

Salernitana	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.13%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.35%