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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Lecce logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Lecce

Cheddira (45+2')
Di Francesco (4'), Jesus (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cerofolini (61' og.)
Almqvist (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-0 Lecce

Frosinone have lost four of their last five on home turf, but Lecce are winless on their travels this season, losing eight of 13 road matches, thus making Sunday's game tricky to predict. However, the home side's six wins from 13 games at Stadio Benito Stirpe mean they have a higher chance than Lecce of claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
FrosinoneDrawLecce
43.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 25.92% (-0.288 -0.29) 30.52% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 52.96% (1.027 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (1.272 1.27)51.12% (-1.274 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (1.106 1.11)72.97% (-1.108 -1.11)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.571 0.57)23.34% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.826 0.83)57.3% (-0.828 -0.83)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)30.91% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.964 0.96)67.2% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 43.56%
    Lecce 30.52%
    Draw 25.91%
FrosinoneDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Lecce

Frosinone
54.2%
Draw
28.8%
Lecce
16.9%
59
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Frosinone
Piccoli (11'), Ramadani (89')
D'Aversa (17'), Blin (73')
Jorge (33' pen.)
Okoli (24'), Ibrahimovic (38'), Barrenechea (43'), Romagnoli (90+5')
Apr 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Frosinone
Coda (40')
Calabresi (54'), Blin (57'), Gallo (89'), Asencio (90+3')

Leon Barisic (18'), Ricci (24'), Gatti (30'), Ciano (71'), Cotali (72')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
0-0
Lecce
Ricci (45'), Lulic (53'), Manzari (86'), Maiello (90')
Hjulmand (34'), Dermaku (76')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 30
Frosinone
0-3
Lecce

Vitale (42'), Kastanos (55')
Coda (53', 69'), Rodriguez (85')
Majer (65')
Dec 12, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Frosinone
Adjapong (44'), Mancosu (60')
Adjapong (14'), Meccariello (51'), Listkowski (82'), Tachtsidis (90+4')
Parzyszek (15' pen.), Novakovich (89')
Kastanos (58'), Novakovich (88'), Curado (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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