Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Roma |
37.38% ( -1.83) | 26.19% ( 0.44) | 36.42% ( 1.39) |
Both teams to score 53.57% ( -1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.98% ( -1.77) | 51.01% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.12% ( -1.58) | 72.88% ( 1.58) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% ( -1.82) | 26.53% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% ( -2.48) | 61.74% ( 2.48) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0.02) | 27.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0.03) | 62.46% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |