Though both sides are in patchy form and will be affected by suspensions, the hosts are most impacted by having to remodel their dangerous attacking triumvirate.
As they have also failed to fire on home turf several times this season, Sassuolo can be picked off by a Roma team desperate to recover from another tough week with a win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
