Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
69.9% | 17.73% | 12.37% |
Both teams to score 51.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.37% | 38.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.07% | 60.93% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% | 9.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.14% | 32.86% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.69% | 42.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.29% | 78.7% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 11.2% 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 4.98% 4-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.19% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.71% Total : 69.89% | 1-1 @ 8.35% 0-0 @ 4.2% 2-2 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.61% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |