Both Sassuolo (36) and Verona (37) have recorded their respective best goals returns following the first 21 games of a Serie A season, so chances at either end should not be in short supply.
While the home side have too often been unable to convert one point into three, they should do so on this occasion, given their visitors' absences and inability to keep the back door shut.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
