Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
3 - 1
Hellas Verona

Pinamonti (11'), Berardi (63', 73' pen.)
Boloca (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ngonge (56')
Coppola (42'), Magnani (45+5'), Baroni (45'), Doig (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Roma
Saturday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 0-0 Hellas Verona

Despite their fine start, Verona may still find it tough to make it three from three against a Sassuolo side who have more quality than their disappointing start shows. If Dionisi can welcome Berardi back into the side, then that should give the side a huge boost, and it should be a closer encounter despite their differing form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Hellas Verona
41.17% ( -0.12)	26.76% ( 0.02)	32.07% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.01% (

-0.07)

53.99% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.57% (

-0.05)

75.43% (

0.05)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

-0.09)

25.83% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.12)

60.8% (

0.12)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

0.03)

31.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

0.04)

67.65% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 41.17%

Hellas Verona 32.07%

Draw 26.76%

Sassuolo	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.17%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.07%