Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Darmstadt
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Zimmermann (49'), Franjic (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tella (33', 52')
Andrich (6'), Hlozek (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen's draw with Monchengladbach last time out should be considered as nothing more than a minor blip for Alonso's title hopefuls, who will be regarded as firm favourites to return to winning ways in comfortable fashion on Saturday. Die Werkself should have few problems rediscovering their goalscoring form against a leaky Darmstadt outfit, who have conceded an average of over two goals per game in the Bundesliga this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
18.69% ( 0.46)	20.47% ( 0.11)	60.83% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.64% (

0.25)

38.35% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.36% (

0.27)

60.63% (

-0.27)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03% (

0.65)

33.96% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

0.69)

70.64% (

-0.7)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.78% (

-0.09)

12.21% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.11% (

-0.18)

37.88% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 18.69%

Bayer Leverkusen 60.83%

Draw 20.47%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 18.69%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.47%	1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.97% Total : 60.83%