Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadyum Samsun

Turkey
2 - 0
Wales

Nayir (72'), Guler (80')
Celik (16'), Demiral (47'), Under (51'), Kahveci (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (58')
Morrell (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Latvia 2-3 Turkey
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	3	0	6
2	Croatia	2	2	4
3	Wales	3	-1	4
4	Armenia	2	1	3
5	Latvia	2	-2	0

Wales

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Wales 2-4 Armenia
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	3	0	6
2	Croatia	2	2	4
3	Wales	3	-1	4
4	Armenia	2	1	3
5	Latvia	2	-2	0

With Turkey's two victories coming on the road, Kuntz's men are due a home victory in qualifying, and they could nick maximum points against Wales, who have won one of their last six European Championship away qualifiers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Wales
43.93% ( -13.66)	21.71% ( -0.87)	34.36% ( 14.53)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

16.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

16.31)

29.83% (

-16.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

17.45)

50.99% (

-17.46)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

1.26)

14.5% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

2.38)

42.49% (

-2.38)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

18.93)

18.38% (

-18.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

24.58)

49.52% (

-24.59)

Score Analysis

Turkey 43.93%

Wales 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Turkey	Draw	Wales
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -1.48) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -5.71) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -5.06) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 1.59) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -2.98) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.83) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.31) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.8) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.99) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.25) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -3.22) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.6) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 2.1) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -1.28) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.43) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.42) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.97) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.22) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.34) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.31) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.85) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.68) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%