Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 25, 2024 at 7pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 2
Roma

Pereyra (23')
Kamara (31'), Bijol (58'), Payero (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukaku (64'), Cristante (90+5')
Baldanzi (69'), Karsdorp (90+3'), Karsdorp (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan
Monday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Hellas Verona vs. Udinese
Saturday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Next Game: Roma vs. AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Since Udinese won 4-0 in their last home game against Roma, back in September 2022, much has changed at both clubs. A similar result in the visitors' favour is not totally improbable on this occasion, but the Giallorossi's margin of victory may just be a little narrower. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Roma
29.56% ( -0.04)	26.37% ( -0.19)	44.07% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 51.08% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67% (

0.72)

53.33% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

0.61)

74.87% (

-0.6)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

0.34)

32.74% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

0.38)

69.3% (

-0.38)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

0.44)

24.06% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

0.61)

58.34% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Udinese 29.56%

Roma 44.07%

Draw 26.37%

Udinese	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.56%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.07%