La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 26, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 1
Osasuna

Luis Morales (57', 71', 80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Catena (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Zamora 1-2 Villarreal
Wednesday, November 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna

This is a really interesting match, as both sides will feel that they should be higher up the table. All eyes will be on Marcelino in his first league game since returning as Villarreal boss, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to edge a close and competitive contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Osasuna
58.05% ( -0.21)	21.72% ( 0.11)	20.23% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.2% (

-0.37)

41.8% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.8% (

-0.37)

64.2% (

0.37)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

-0.19)

14.14% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.2% (

-0.37)

41.79% (

0.37)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59% (

-0.12)

34.41% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.88% (

-0.13)

71.12% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 58.05%

Osasuna 20.23%

Draw 21.72%

Villarreal	Draw	Osasuna
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.05%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.23%