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Le Havre
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AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
AC Ajaccio

Auxerre
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Sakhi (8')
Jubal (23')
Niang (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vidal (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 0-1 Ajaccio

Considering the last three meetings between these two sides have all ended goalless, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend. However, Ajaccio appear to have turned a corner away from home and we can see them snatching all three points with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
36.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 28.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)61.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)81.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 36.72%
    Ajaccio 34.31%
    Draw 28.94%
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Ajaccio

Auxerre
39.4%
Draw
22.5%
Ajaccio
38.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Vidal (48'), Marchetti (60')
Marchetti (70')

Joly (30'), Leon (35'), Jubal (72')
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Auxerre
0-0
Ajaccio

Toure (60'), Sinayoko (68'), Hein (90+7')

Youssouf (40'), Botue (78'), Gonzalez (83'), Courtet (90')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Oct 3, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
5-1
Ajaccio
Le Bihan (7', 37'), Dugimont (23' pen., 41'), Fortune (84' pen.)
Toure (33'), Arcus (80')
Elisor (30')
Moussiti-Oko (14')
Feb 7, 2020 7pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Auxerre
El Idrissy (11'), Coeff (31' og.)
Coutadeur (45')
Sakhi (4', 34'), Le Bihan (18')
Van Boto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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