Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lorient |
68.45% | 20.36% | 11.19% |
Both teams to score 39.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.16% | 52.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.54% | 74.46% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.52% | 14.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.55% | 42.45% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.62% | 53.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.11% | 86.88% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 14.43% 3-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 4.49% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.92% Total : 68.44% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.85% 1-2 @ 2.94% 0-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |