Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 14, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 1
Lorient

Kolasinac (38'), Sanchez (53'), Veretout (59')
Under (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moffi (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Troyes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Marseille 2-1 Lorient

We expect a closely-fought affair at Stade Velodrome on Saturday, but the hosts should have just about enough to squeeze out a sixth successive league win. Lorient possess more than enough firepower to score against Tudor's side, but Marseille are a settled unit at present and will have vociferous support on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lorient
63.76% ( 0.01)	20.22% ( -0)	16.02% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.01% (

-0)

41.99% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.6%

64.4% (

-0)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5%

12.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5% (

38.49% (

-0.01)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.75% (

-0.01)

39.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.04% (

-0.01)

75.96% (

Score Analysis

Marseille 63.75%

Lorient 16.02%

Draw 20.22%

Marseille	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 10.6% 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.75%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.22%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.02%