Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Lyon |
23.67% | 24.42% | 51.91% |
Both teams to score 52.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.49% | 49.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.46% | 71.54% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% | 35.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% | 72.25% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% | 19.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.36% | 50.64% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.67% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.29% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |