Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
40.25% (![]() | 25.79% (![]() | 33.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% (![]() | 49.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% (![]() | 24.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% (![]() | 58.67% (![]() |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 9.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |