Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Troyes |
56.14% ( -0.04) | 23.84% ( 0) | 20.02% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.9% ( 0.04) | 51.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.05% ( 0.03) | 72.95% ( -0.03) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% | 18.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.07% ( -0) | 48.93% ( 0) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.03% ( 0.06) | 39.97% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.38% ( 0.06) | 76.62% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 56.13% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |