Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
3 - 1
Ajaccio

Said (33', 71'), Bruus (48')
Diop (13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jacob (41')
Chanot (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Troyes and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Pau 1-1 Troyes
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Valenciennes
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Ajaccio
37.96% ( -0.05)	27.25% ( 0.01)	34.79% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.04% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.57% (

-0.04)

55.43% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

-0.03)

76.62% (

0.03)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

-0.05)

28.29% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

-0.06)

64.01% (

0.06)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

30.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

66.38% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Troyes 37.96%

Ajaccio 34.78%

Draw 27.24%

Troyes	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.96%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.78%