Major League Soccer

Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston

Shaqiri (10' pen.), Gutierrez (78')
Czichos (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ibrahim (65')
Sviatchenko (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Chicago have been struggling to find their best form this season and are coming off a very poor display against Atlanta last weekend. They now have to face a Houston side that are unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, are riding a three-match winning streak and will be brimming with confidence after their comeback win against the Earthquakes. We fancy the hosts to get on the board here but feel that the visitors will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Houston Dynamo
47.03% ( 0.03)	25.31% ( 0)	27.67% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.94% (

-0.02)

50.06% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97% (

-0.02)

72.04% (

0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

0.01)

21.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

0.01)

54.24% (

-0)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-0.03)

32.46% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02% (

-0.03)

68.98% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 47.02%

Houston Dynamo 27.67%

Draw 25.31%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.47% Total : 47.02%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.67%