Major League Soccer

Aug 14, 2022 at 2am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
4 - 1
Earthquakes

Ferreira (3', 41'), Farfan (20'), Velasco (57')
Cerrillo (45'), Pomykal (67')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ebobisse (60')
Cardoso (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dallas 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Looking at recent results between Dallas and San Jose, we expect another keenly-contested encounter this weekend. Both sides have struggled to get going over the last month and we predict that they will settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
57.26% ( 0.26)	22.66% ( -0.13)	20.07% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.81% (

0.39)

46.19% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51% (

0.37)

68.49% (

-0.37)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11% (

0.22)

15.88% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.89% (

0.41)

45.1% (

-0.41)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9% (

0.09)

37.09% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12% (

0.09)

73.88% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Dallas 57.25%

San Jose Earthquakes 20.07%

Draw 22.66%

Dallas	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.25%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.07%