Major League Soccer

Mar 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 0
NY City

Acosta (57')
Acosta (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perea (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York City FC

While the Pigeons will take a lot from their comeback last week, they are still missing a good deal of their chances, and we do not believe they will have many against a side who have been sharp defensively at home. Acosta is among the best chance creators in the league, and we believe he will find a way to unlock a Pigeons side that will be missing the veteran leadership of Parks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York City FC
55.65% ( 0)	23.74%	20.61% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.99% (

50.01% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.01% (

71.99% (

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.18% (

17.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.45% (

48.55%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28% (

-0)

38.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54% (

-0)

75.46% (

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 55.64%

New York City FC 20.61%

Draw 23.74%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 11.9% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.64%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.74%	0-1 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.61%