Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Ferreira (13' pen.), Dorsey (75')
Ceren (90+3'), Clark (90+6')
Ceren (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arango (19')
Sanchez (11'), Acosta (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-3 Los Angeles FC

While Los Angeles have suffered a slump in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Houston side who have picked up just one draw and lost five of their last six games. We predict a one-sided contest with the visitors easing to all three points and extending their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles FC
34.31% ( 0)	24.53%	41.16%

Both teams to score 59.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.2% (

0.01)

43.79% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82% (

0.01)

66.18% (

-0)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

24.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

0.01)

59.52% (

-0)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

21.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

54.3% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 34.31%

Los Angeles FC 41.16%

Draw 24.53%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.31%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.81% 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.16%