Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 1
St Louis City

Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-0 Houston
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 St Louis City

Houston Dynamo will be backing themselves to return to winning ways this weekend as they take on a St Louis side who have failed to win any of their last five away matches. The Orange Crush have won their last four home games across all competitions and we see them scraping a narrow victory in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	St Louis City
62.98% ( -0.62)	20.37% ( 0.02)	16.64% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.51% (

1.08)

41.48% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11% (

1.08)

63.88% (

-1.08)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.43% (

0.16)

12.56% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.37% (

0.32)

38.63% (

-0.31)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83% (

1.41)

38.16% (

-1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

1.33)

74.93% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 62.98%

St Louis City 16.64%

Draw 20.37%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 62.98%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.37%	0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.64%