Major League Soccer

Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Surridge (42')
Godoy (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carranza (62'), Gazdag (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Nashville SC 0-2 Philadelphia Union

The Boys in Gold look disorganised defensively, and they are coming up against a Union side that are finding their form in the attacking third, which we believe will spell trouble for the home side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
43.5% ( 0.01)	25.24%	31.25% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.04% (

-0)

47.96% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86% (

-0)

70.13% (

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98% (

22.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.66% (

55.34%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

-0)

28.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-0)

64.67% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 43.5%

Philadelphia Union 31.26%

Draw 25.23%

Nashville SC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.5%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.89% 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.26%