Major League Soccer

Jun 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
vs.
Columbus Crew

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 2 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

We say: New York City FC 1-1 Columbus Crew

These are two resilient groups that have overcome some rough stretches this year, and we expect to see a spirited affair between a pair of well-balanced sides who are even in many respects. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Columbus Crew has a probability of 24.27% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win is 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.69%).

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Columbus Crew
52.77% ( 0.31)	22.95% ( 0.15)	24.27% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 57.72% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

-1.15)

42.55% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

-1.16)

64.95% (

1.15)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

-0.3)

16.14% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.42% (

-0.56)

45.58% (

0.55)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-1)

31.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

-1.18)

67.5% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 52.77%

Columbus Crew 24.27%

Draw 22.94%

New York City FC	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.77%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.27%