Major League Soccer

Mar 23, 2024 at 6pm UK

Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1

NY Red Bulls
4 - 0
Inter Miami

Morgan (3', 51', 70'), Carmona (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Krivtsov (11'), Suarez (25'), Allen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: DC United 1-3 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 16 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-3 Inter Miami

While Messi has been ruled out again for Inter Miami, they showed last week that their squad depth will be a major asset this season, especially if the likes of Suarez and Campana can remain fit and firing. The Red Bulls are certainly no pushover at home but we feel that the Herons will outscore them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami
50.1% ( -0)	24.75%	25.15%

Both teams to score 52.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

-0)

49.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41%

71.58% (

-0)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

-0)

19.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

-0)

51.85%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77%

34.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08%

70.92% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 50.1%

Inter Miami 25.15%

Draw 24.74%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.15%