Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Ebobisse (2'), Rodrigues (15')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Arango (44')
Vera (13'), Arango (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake

San Jose need to start picking up regular wins to secure their place in the playoffs, but recent form suggests they are set to struggle on Saturday evening. Salt Lake will be feeling better about themselves after beating basement dwellers Colorado last time out, and we are expecting Mastroeni's side to make it back-to-back wins this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
54.74% ( 1.13)	22.09% ( -0.25)	23.17% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 59.37% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.24% (

0.18)

39.76% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

0.19)

62.11% (

-0.19)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

0.43)

14.5% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

0.83)

42.5% (

-0.83)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

-0.63)

30.56% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21% (

-0.76)

66.79% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54.74%

Real Salt Lake 23.17%

Draw 22.08%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.74%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.89% Total : 23.17%