Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2

Mar 5, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Livestrong Sporting Park

Kansas
1 - 0
Houston

Walter (60')
Espinoza (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ceren (55'), Quintero (86'), Vera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Houston Dynamo

Following their differing performances last season, the hosts would expect to come into Saturday's clash as favourites, but their confidence will be hit by last weekend's defeat. Houston Dynamo showed resilience to earn a point against Real Salt Lake, and we see a similar outcome taking place in Kansas with the visitors holding Vermes's side to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
58.28%	22%	19.71%

Both teams to score 54.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.2%

43.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.81%

66.18%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27%

14.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.06%

42.93%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.91%

36.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.13%

72.86%

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 58.27%

Houston Dynamo 19.71%

Draw 21.99%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.75% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.42% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.71%