Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
0 - 3
Nashville

Rosero (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Picault (29'), Williams (66'), Maher (76')
Muyl (52'), Washington (82'), Moore (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Kansas
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Nashville SC

Although Sporting Kansas City are still outside the playoff places, they have been one of the best sides in the Western Conference over the past 20 matches, and we expect them to get the job done on Wednesday night. Nashville SC have been in terrible form, winning just one of their last nine MLS games, and they have not won on their travels since the beginning of June, so we think it will be a relatively comfortable victory for the hosts.

How to watch

You can watch Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Nashville SC
59.06% ( 0.02)	22.37% ( 0.02)	18.56% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

-0.15)

47.1% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

-0.14)

69.34% (

0.14)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.41% (

-0.04)

15.59% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.43% (

-0.08)

44.57% (

0.09)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.74% (

-0.13)

39.26% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.04% (

-0.13)

75.96% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 59.06%

Nashville SC 18.56%

Draw 22.37%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.06%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.56%