Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 25.88% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.68%).
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
51.03% ( 0.8) | 23.09% ( -0.01) | 25.88% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.32% ( -0.61) | 41.68% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.92% ( -0.62) | 64.08% ( 0.63) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% ( 0.07) | 16.44% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.88% ( 0.11) | 46.12% ( -0.11) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% ( -0.91) | 29.43% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.58% ( -1.13) | 65.42% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.03% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.26% Total : 25.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |