Major League Soccer

Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 3
Kansas

Osorio (90+7')
Coello (57'), Osorio (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Walter (57'), Davis (64'), Vargas (83')
Davis (44'), Leibold (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 1-0 Sporting Kansas City

Toronto have a new energy this year, and we believe their newfound confidence and solid defensive structure should enable them to frustrate SKC and eventually sneak a goal in to earn a rare victory against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
41.57% ( -0)	25.69%	32.74% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0)

49.39% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0)

71.43% (

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0)

23.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

-0.01)

57.63% (

0.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

28.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

64.34% (

Score Analysis

Toronto 41.57%

Sporting Kansas City 32.74%

Draw 25.69%

Toronto	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.74%