UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Belgium
1 - 4
Netherlands

Batshuayi (90+3')
Mertens (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bergwijn (40'), Depay (51', 66'), Dumfries (62')
van Dijk (89')

Louis van Gaal urges Steven Bergwijn to leave Tottenham Hotspur

Netherlands boss Louis van Gaal urges Tottenham Hotspur winger Steven Bergwijn to leave the club as soon as possible amid rumours of a potential move to Ajax.

Jun 4, 23:10

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Netherlands could line up in their UEFA Nations League clash with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:

Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

Netherlands

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	2	4	6
2	Belgium	2	2	3
3	Poland	2	-4	3
4	Wales	2	-2	0

We said: Belgium 1-1 Netherlands

Both managers would likely accept a draw if it was offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see the pair sharing the points on Friday night. Belgium, arguably, have the superior talent, especially in the forward areas, but Netherlands will be strong at the back, and we are predicting a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Netherlands
37.46% ( 0.06)	24.7% ( 0.01)	37.85% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.87% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

-0.05)

44.23% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

-0.05)

66.61% (

0.05)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.01)

23.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65% (

0.01)

57.35% (

-0.01)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

-0.05)

23.17% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95% (

-0.08)

57.05% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Belgium 37.46%

Netherlands 37.85%

Draw 24.7%

Belgium	Draw	Netherlands
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.46%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.85%