MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 11:04:45| >> :600:774813:774813:
[monks data]
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Burton Albion

Plymouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Grant (15'), Broom (43')
Scarr (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Akins (59')

Preview: Plymouth Argyle vs. Burton Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Plymouth Argyle have not lost a match in the league since the opening day of the season, but after consecutive draws in their most recent games, they will be keen to get back to winning ways on Saturday.

Burton Albion will be making the trip to Home Park and they shall be attempting to bounce back from their recent defeat, which they suffered midweek in the EFL Trophy.


Match preview

Bury manager Ryan Lowe pictured in December 2018© Reuters

Plymouth Argyle have made a brilliant start to the 2021-22 campaign, putting together some fantastic performances following their opening day defeat against Rotherham United.

Since that point, they have only lost in cup football and are actually undefeated at Home Park so far, making their ground a fortress.

The Pilgrims have showcased quality both defensively and in attack, with the current league leaders Wigan Athletic being the one team that boasts a greater goal difference than them.

Ryan Lowe's men are also the only ones in the division to have lost just a single game, and that is a serious improvement to what they managed last season, when they finished 18th.

However, their previous two matches have ended in draws with Plymouth sharing the points with Crewe Alexandra, where they fought from behind, and then again with Lincoln City when they gave away a lead.

The performance on Saturday will have been a frustrating one for the Pilgrims as they had gone ahead twice and then let that slip, with a 90th-minute penalty for the Imps ensuring they shared a point each.

Burton also suffered a similar fate during their most recent League One outing when they visited AFC Wimbledon, with a goal at the end of the game from Luke McCormick leading to the game finishing 1-1.

However they were defeated in their previous match, which took place in the EFL Trophy against Aston Villa's Under-21s team, and once again they let a lead slip.

Burton had taken a 2-0 advantage after just 23 minutes, with goals from Daniel Jebbison and Kane Hemmings, but things quickly unravelled as the game progressed, resulting in a 4-2 defeat.

The Brewers shall be hoping for a quick response to that loss on Saturday, but they have not won a game away from home since the opening day of the season.

Plymouth Argyle League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Plymouth Argyle form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Burton Albion League One form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Burton Albion form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, now in charge of Burton Albion, pictured in January, 2021© Reuters

Lowe had hoped to have Danny Mayor available for the recent game with Lincoln City, however that was not the case as he could not overcome his current thigh injury.

Considering he was close for that fixture, though, there is a good chance that the midfielder will be an option heading into the match at the weekend.

Conor Grant also missed that 2-2 draw due to a hamstring issue he picked up during the previous fixture and he could be unavailable for Saturday.

Jordan Houghton must be careful throughout the game, as he is only one yellow card away from having to miss a match due to suspension, which Lowe will be keen to avoid.

After scoring from the bench in his last league performance and then doing so again when starting in the EFL Trophy, there is a good chance that Hemmings could have played his way into the Burton starting XI for this fixture.

However, the Brewers are set to be without John Brayford who had to come off almost immediately last weekend due to a hamstring injury that could keep him out for three months.

Plymouth Argyle possible starting lineup:
Cooper; Galloway, Scarr, Gillesphey; Edwards, Camara, Broom, Houghton, Garrick; Hardie, Jephcott

Burton Albion possible starting lineup:
Garratt; Borthwick-Jackson, Leak, Shaughnessy, Hamer; Powell, Morris; Hemmings, Lakin, Smith; Akins


SM words green background

We say: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Burton Albion

Right now Plymouth Argyle are flying in the league and as they sit just two points off the top, they will not be wanting to drop their chase against a team in mixed form.

While Burton Albion have proven that they will not be easy to defeat this season, it is likely that the hosts will have too much quality in this match.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:466683:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8725:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Plymouth vs Burton Albion

Plymouth Argyle
74.2%
Draw
16.1%
Burton Albion
9.7%
31
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
General view of Burton Albion's Pirelli Stadium from February 2017
Read Next:
Burton expect to face Hull despite coronavirus outbreak
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!