Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
56.21% ( 0.32) | 24.23% ( -0.15) | 19.56% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( 0.34) | 53.17% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( 0.28) | 74.74% ( -0.28) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( 0.25) | 18.79% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.8% ( 0.41) | 50.2% ( -0.41) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.33% ( -0) | 41.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% ( -0) | 78.15% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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