Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bellslea Park

Fraserburgh
0 - 2
St Johnstone U21s

Butcher (59'), Guild (88')
Murison (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pert (34'), Steven (70')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Fraserburgh and St Johnstone Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fraserburgh

Last Game: Partick 2-0 Fraserburgh
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

St Johnstone Under-21s

Last Game: East Fife 1-0 St Johnstone U21s
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 80.32%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 7.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a St Johnstone Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Fraserburgh	Draw	St Johnstone Under-21s
80.32% ( 0.52)	11.73% ( -0.24)	7.94% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 59.6% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.41% (

0.25)

21.58% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.68% (

0.35)

40.32% (

-0.35)

Fraserburgh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.86% (

0.12)

4.13% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.69% (

0.38)

17.3% (

-0.39)

St Johnstone Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.17% (

-0.38)

37.82% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

-0.37)

74.59% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Fraserburgh 80.32%

St Johnstone Under-21s 7.94%

Draw 11.73%

Fraserburgh	Draw	St Johnstone Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 80.32%	1-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 11.73%	1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 7.94%