Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round

Aug 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Forthbank Stadium

Stirling University
4 - 0
Livingston U21s

Russell (3'), Malcolm (70'), McIvor Redwood (72'), Tallen (87')
Southern (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stenhouse (30'), Allan (34'), Ledingham (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Stirling University and Livingston Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stirling University

Last Game: Dundee Utd 3-0 Stirling University
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Livingston Under-21s

Last Game: Celtic Res. 3-0 Livingston U21s
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling University win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Livingston Under-21s had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling University win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Livingston Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling University would win this match.

Result
Stirling University	Draw	Livingston Under-21s
71.77% ( -1.79)	16.31% ( 0.86)	11.91% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 56.01% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.22% (

-1.73)

32.77% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.54% (

-2.02)

54.46% (

2.02)

Stirling University Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.98% (

-0.78)

8.01% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.76% (

-2)

28.23% (

1.99)

Livingston Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

0.31)

39.1% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

0.29)

75.82% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Stirling University 71.77%

Livingston Under-21s 11.91%

Draw 16.31%

Stirling University	Draw	Livingston Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.17) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.37% Total : 71.77%	1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.31%	1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.64% Total : 11.91%