Scottish League Two | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Station Park

Forfar
2 - 1
Elgin

McLean (72', 90+1' pen.)
McLean (22'), Hutchinson (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Draper (36')
Dingwall (53'), McKenzie (58'), Cameron (60'), McHale (90'), McHale (90')
Cameron (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Forfar Athletic and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forfar Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Forfar
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Elgin City

All competitions

Last Game: Elgin 2-1 Stranraer
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.

Result
Forfar Athletic	Draw	Elgin City
62.66% ( -0.13)	20.68% ( 0.03)	16.65% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 53% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.03)

42.89% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

0.03)

65.29% (

-0.03)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

-0.03)

13.09% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.28% (

-0.05)

39.71% (

0.05)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99% (

0.13)

39.01% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26% (

0.12)

75.73% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Forfar Athletic 62.66%

Elgin City 16.65%

Draw 20.68%

Forfar Athletic	Draw	Elgin City
2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.66%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.65%