Both sides will hope that they can turn over a new leaf for the new year, as Atalanta's all-out attacking has not translated to sufficient points at the Gewiss Stadium, and Torino are too often abysmal outside of Turin.
The hosts have the best chance of doing so, however, as their greater individual quality in the final third should prove decisive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
