Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
47.31% ( 0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.05) | 26.74% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% ( 0.02) | 53.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( 0.02) | 74.78% ( -0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( 0.15) | 22.49% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( 0.22) | 56.05% ( -0.21) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% ( -0.19) | 34.88% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( -0.2) | 71.61% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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