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Cremonese
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Lecce logo

Cremonese
0 - 2
Lecce


Pickel (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baschirotto (58'), Espeto (69')
Colombo (76'), Askildsen (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-2 Cremonese
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 1-0 Lecce

Both sides are yet to reach 20 goals since promotion - placing them among Serie A's lowest scorers - so a close-fought tussle is in prospect. While Lecce are experiencing their first real downturn, Cremonese must be lifted by their Coppa Italia success - surely Saturday is the day their winless streak finally ends? Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawLecce
36.66% (-1.085 -1.09) 26.32% (-0.02 -0.02) 37.02% (1.112 1.11)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (0.117 0.12)51.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.103 0.1)73.34% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.569 -0.57)27.19% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.747 -0.75)62.6% (0.752 0.75)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.706 0.71)26.99% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.915 0.91)62.34% (-0.912 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 36.66%
    Lecce 37.02%
    Draw 26.31%
CremoneseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.02%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Lecce

Cremonese
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Lecce
33.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Cremonese
Espeto (42' pen.)
Falcone (18')
Ciofani (19' pen.)
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Lecce
2-1
Cremonese
Gallo (14'), Okoli (90+1' og.)
Espeto (6'), Dermaku (52'), Lucioni (58')
Ciofani (15')
Valeri (11'), Valzania (21'), Strizzolo (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 7.30pm
Cremonese
3-0
Lecce
Valzania (51'), Buonaiuto (60'), Valeri (65')
Valeri (31'), Castagnetti (39'), Ravanelli (83')

Espeto (39')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Cremonese
1-2
Lecce
Gaetano (7')
Ravanelli (29')
Ravanelli (90+2')
Castagnetti (30' og.), Rodriguez (54')
Hjulmand (52'), Lucioni (60'), Nikolov (81')
Oct 21, 2020 6pm
Lecce
2-2
Cremonese
Dermaku (47'), Coda (64')
Gaetano (30'), Valzania (34')
Terranova (12'), Strizzolo (45'), Fiordaliso (54'), Gustafson (58'), Castagnetti (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta382161172423069
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina381791261461560
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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