Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
25.68% (![]() | 26.48% (![]() | 47.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% (![]() | 55.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% (![]() | 77.01% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% (![]() | 37.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% (![]() | 74% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% (![]() | 23.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.61% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 12.5% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 12.64% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |