Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Sampdoria |
64.45% ( -2.68) | 21.04% ( 1.21) | 14.51% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 46.91% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( -2.01) | 48.47% ( 2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( -1.86) | 70.6% ( 1.85) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( -1.43) | 14.32% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.85% ( -2.85) | 42.14% ( 2.84) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.75% ( 0.97) | 45.25% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.87% ( 0.76) | 81.13% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.61) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.4% Total : 64.44% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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