Serie B | Gameweek 35

Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 1
Perugia

Moncini (62' pen.)
Arena (7'), Zanellato (44'), Maistro (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Casasola (12')
Kouan (2'), Lisi (59'), Di Serio (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: Modena 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Perugia

All competitions

Last Game: Perugia 0-0 Cosenza
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 48%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Perugia
48% ( -0.09)	25.49% ( 0)	26.51% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

0.04)

51.55% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65% (

0.04)

73.34% (

-0.04)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.02)

21.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.03)

54.53% (

0.03)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.84% (

0.1)

34.16% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

0.1)

70.86% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

SPAL 47.99%

Perugia 26.51%

Draw 25.49%

SPAL	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.99%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.51%