Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Ternana
39.28% ( -0.02)	27.18% ( -0.03)	33.54% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.05% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.67% (

0.11)

55.33% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

0.09)

76.54% (

-0.09)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

0.04)

27.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

0.06)

62.99% (

-0.05)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

0.09)

30.98% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

0.1)

67.29% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 39.27%

Ternana 33.54%

Draw 27.17%

Sudtirol	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.27%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.54%