Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 2pm UK

Altay
2 - 4
Kasimpasa

Ozturk (45+1'), Kappel (81' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Eysseric (35', 50'), Bozok (42', 63')
Haspolat (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Altay and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altay have endured a difficult season in the first tier and will be thankful of the campaign's conclusion, as they target an immediate return next time around. As for Kasimpasa, safety has been secured and they will travel to Altay confident of taking a result against the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40%. A win for Altay had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Altay win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Altay	Draw	Kasimpasa
35.2% ( -1.11)	24.8% ( 0.07)	40% ( 1.04)

Both teams to score 58.28% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.1% (

-0.47)

44.9% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.75% (

-0.45)

67.25% (

0.45)

Altay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.84)

24.91% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

-1.18)

59.53% (

1.17)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.31)

22.38% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

0.46)

55.88% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Altay 35.2%

Kasimpasa 40%

Draw 24.79%

Altay	Draw	Kasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.2%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40%