Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 11, 2022 at 11am UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Vilafranquense
0 - 0
Belenenses

Alaba (57'), Martins (90')

Sambu (88'), Ramalho (90+4'), (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Vilafranquense and Belenenses.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vilafranquense

Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Vilafranquense
Sunday, November 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Belenenses

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Belenenses
Thursday, December 1 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Vilafranquense win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Vilafranquense	Draw	Belenenses
23.37% ( -0.04)	25.9% ( -0.03)	50.74% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49% (

0.06)

55.51% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31% (

0.05)

76.69% (

-0.05)

Vilafranquense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.9% (

-0.01)

39.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

-0.01)

75.82% (

0.01)

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

0.06)

21.93% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.79% (

0.09)

55.21% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Vilafranquense 23.37%

Belenenses 50.73%

Draw 25.89%

Vilafranquense	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.37%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.73%