Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 21, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio do Mar

Leixoes
1 - 1
Setubal

Luis (26')
Freitas (72'), Danrlei (73'), Agostinho (86'), Paulinho (103')
Freitas (81')

FT
(aet)

Bright (85' og.)
Zequinha (48'), Montez (96'), Nascimento (112')

Setubal win 4-3 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Leixoes and Vitoria de Setubal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leixoes

Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Vitoria de Setubal

All competitions

Last Game: Setubal 0-1 Casa Pia
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%).

Result
Leixoes	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
40.7% ( -0.05)	26.44%	32.86% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.19% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

0.01)

52.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

74.18% (

-0.01)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.02)

25.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77% (

-0.03)

60.22% (

0.03)

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

0.03)

30.02% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

0.04)

66.15% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Leixoes 40.7%

Vitoria de Setubal 32.86%

Draw 26.43%

Leixoes	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.86%