Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vilaverdense win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vilaverdense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vilaverdense would win this match.

Result
Vilaverdense	Draw	SC Farense
46.17% ( -0.04)	25.24% ( -0.04)	28.58% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

0.22)

49.25% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

0.2)

71.3% (

-0.2)

Vilaverdense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

0.07)

21.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

0.12)

54.31% (

-0.12)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

0.17)

31.34% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

0.2)

67.7% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Vilaverdense 46.17%

SC Farense 28.58%

Draw 25.24%

Vilaverdense	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.17%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.58%