As neither side will want to come away empty-handed from their opening fixture of the finals, it may well be a cagey affair on Saturday evening. Italy have the more impressive recent record, though, and are set to prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Romania Under-19s had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Romania Under-19s win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Italy Under-19s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-19s.

Result
Italy Under-19s	Draw	Romania Under-19s
43.7% ( 0)	24.46%	31.84% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.45% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.76% (

44.24% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

66.61% (

-0)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

0.01)

20.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

0.01)

52.78% (

-0)

Romania Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

26.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18%

61.82% (

Score Analysis

Italy Under-19s 43.7%

Romania Under-19s 31.84%

Draw 24.45%

Italy Under-19s	Draw	Romania Under-19s
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.86% Total : 43.7%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.84%