Under-20s World Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jun 3, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario

Colombia U20s
1 - 3
Italy U20s

Torres (49')
Mantilla (63'), Cabezas (77'), Degl'Innocenti (77'), Puerta (82'), Salazar (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Casadei (9'), Baldanzi (38'), Pio Esposito (46')
Casadei (83'), Montevago (85'), Degl'Innocenti (90+7'), Prati (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Colombia Under-20s and Italy Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia Under-20s

Last Game: Colombia U20s 5-1 Slovakia U20s
Wednesday, May 31 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

Italy Under-20s

Last Game: England U20s 1-2 Italy U20s
Wednesday, May 31 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Colombia Under-20s 2-2 Italy Under-20s (a.e.t, Italy to win on penalties)

Italy will prove to be much sterner opposition than Slovakia were for Colombia, but the Tricolor's consistency in front of goal should cancel out any defensive lapses in concentration. The Azzurrini also required a healthy dose of VAR controversy to get over the line against England, and a shootout from 12 yards may be required to separate the two sides, where Italy can emulate their seniors' feats from Euro 2020 to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Colombia Under-20s had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Colombia Under-20s win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Colombia Under-20s	Draw	Italy Under-20s
29.84% ( -1)	26.73% ( 0.12)	43.43% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 50.11% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.36% (

-0.82)

54.64% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03% (

-0.69)

75.97% (

0.69)

Colombia Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.78% (

-1.15)

33.21% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

-1.29)

69.82% (

1.29)

Italy Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

0.08)

24.96% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

0.11)

59.6% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Colombia Under-20s 29.84%

Italy Under-20s 43.42%

Draw 26.73%

Colombia Under-20s	Draw	Italy Under-20s
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.84%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.42%